Good afternoon guys and gals. All eyes are once again on Earl, as hurricane watches are destined to be issued by the NHC for the Mid Atlantic later today. The track continues to be adjusted westward, so I am getting more and more confident that we are going to see a land-falling hurricane. That powerful cold front that I talked about yesterday has slowed down somewhat, so this will allow Earl to either come really close to the coast or make a landfall. We are still looking at a category 4 storm, and I am not expecting much strengthening due to eye wall replacements.
EARL-5 DAY FORECAST TRACK
Take a look at the GFS for hour 72. It has it even closer to the coast than it did yesterday...almost a landfall. Looks like the East Coast is going to have some rough days ahead of them. This isn't the only model we look at as weather forecasters/meteorologists, but I like the GFS during hurricane season.
More later today...
- Weather Forecaster Patrick Sumner
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